Conf = B1G
Nickname = PA Nittany Li Coach = ns Jeff TambrGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.9346161 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 203 H Colgate Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.5) 12-13 210 H Villanova Big East ( 9- 7, 93.8) 18-10 217 A Stony Brook CAA ( 4-10, 90.4) 14-10 224 A Navy Patriot ( 9- 7, 92.1) 13- 3 302 H Yale Ivy (11- 4, 95.8) 15-14 309 H Cornell Ivy ( 9- 5, 95.9) 20- 9 316 N Marquette Big East ( 4-10, 89.6) 13- 7 324 A Ohio State B1G ( 6- 9, 93.9) 12- 9 331 H Maryland B1G ( 9- 5, 96.3) 11-13 406 A Johns Hopkins B1G (11- 4, 96.9) 8- 9 413 H Michigan B1G (10- 7, 95.1) 14- 8 419 A Rutgers B1G ( 7- 7, 92.4) 15- 9 427 H Rutgers B1G ( 7- 7, 92.4) 14- 8 502 N Maryland B1G ( 9- 5, 96.3) 19- 9 504 N Michigan B1G (10- 7, 95.1) 4-16 512 A Georgetown Big East (13- 3, 96.4) 9-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 H Colgate 12-13 -1 4 -- -5.12 210 H Villanova 18-10 8 3 + 3.13 217 A Stony Brook 14-10 4 5 -1.88 224 A Navy 13- 3 10 4 + 2.86 302 H Yale 15-14 1 1 -0.88 309 H Cornell 20- 9 11 1 ++ 5.27 316 N Marquette 13- 7 6 7 -1.00 324 A Ohio State 12- 9 3 2 0.69 331 H Maryland 11-13 -2 1 - -3.33 406 A Johns Hopkins 8- 9 -1 0 -0.38 413 H Michigan 14- 8 6 2 + 3.49 419 A Rutgers 15- 9 6 3 + 2.11 427 H Rutgers 14- 8 6 5 0.72 502 N Maryland 19- 9 10 0 +++ 6.36 504 N Michigan 4-16 -12 1 --- -8.81 512 A Georgetown 9-12 -3 0 - -2.89UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 N Michigan 4-16 -12 1 --- -8.81 203 H Colgate 12-13 -1 4 -- -5.12 331 H Maryland 11-13 -2 1 - -3.33 512 A Georgetown 9-12 -3 0 - -2.89OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 N Maryland 19- 9 10 0 +++ 6.36 309 H Cornell 20- 9 11 1 ++ 5.27 210 H Villanova 18-10 8 3 + 3.13 224 A Navy 13- 3 10 4 + 2.86 413 H Michigan 14- 8 6 2 + 3.49 419 A Rutgers 15- 9 6 3 + 2.11
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.94 Power Rank................. 5 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 86.00 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 10 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6390 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 17 RPI Rating............... .6101 RPI Rank................... 9 Champ. Probability ...... 5.5 Championship Rank ......... 7 Selection sum ........... 36 Selection Rank ............ 13 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 40. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 9 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 45. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 10 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7